More rooms sold, yet gross operating profit % fell. WaterfallBridge shows whether it was rate, cost, or the mix of segments that filled those rooms.
"Occupancy went up this period — we sold more — but our GOP % dropped. Which segments caused it, and was it lower rates, higher costs, or simply the type of business we took?"
Set the Result to GOP %, with SumY = GOP (numerator) and SumN = Revenue (denominator), broken down by the Key = Segment. With the prior period as baseline and the current period as comparison, WaterfallBridge attributes the GOP % change to each segment and isolates the impact of the newly added group segment and the mix shift.
Illustrative figures. Three segments — Group is new this period.
| Segment | Period | Revenue (SumN) | GOP (SumY) | GOP % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate | Baseline | 100 | 40 | 40.0% |
| Corporate | Comparison | 90 | 34 | 37.8% |
| Leisure | Baseline | 60 | 21 | 35.0% |
| Leisure | Comparison | 80 | 24 | 30.0% |
| Group new | Comparison | 50 | 10 | 20.0% |
| Total | Baseline | 160 | 61 | 38.1% |
| Total | Comparison | 220 | 68 | 30.9% |
Revenue (a proxy for occupancy) rose +60 (160 → 220) while GOP % fell −7.2 pp (38.1% → 30.9%).
Contribution of each segment to the −7.2 pp GOP change (illustrative).
| Driver | Contribution to GOP % | Effect |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline GOP % | 38.1% | start |
| Corporate — rate/cost softening | −0.8 pp | down |
| Leisure — discounting (35% → 30%) | −1.9 pp | down |
| Group — added (low 20% GOP) | −4.0 pp | down |
| Mix shift toward lower-rate business | −0.5 pp | down |
| Comparison GOP % | 30.9% | end |
The extra occupancy was real, but it came from the wrong places. Adding the Group segment at just 20% GOP cost ~4.0 pp, and Leisure was discounted from 35% to 30% to drive volume, costing another ~1.9 pp. Corporate, the most profitable segment, actually shrank. The lesson: the occupancy gain was "bought" with low-margin business. The action is to protect Corporate volume and reprice Group and Leisure.
GOP % can fall while occupancy rises when the extra demand is filled with lower-rate, lower-margin segments (such as group or discounted business), when variable costs grow faster than revenue, or when a new low-margin segment is added. WaterfallBridge decomposes the GOP % change by segment so you can see whether it was rate, cost or segment mix that drove the rate down even as volume grew.
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